Summary of PCI without ACS Model based on California Inpatient and Outpatient Data, 2017-2018
Outcome: MACCE (Multiple Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebral Events)
This outcome is determined based on the occurrence of 1 or more of the following events after the Index PCI or a Subsequent Connected Inpatient Admission: All events are weighted equally.
Model Statistics:
Number of Observations: 46,995
% of Observations with Outcome: 3.4%
C-statistic: 0.758
Pseudo-R2: 12.7
Hosmer-Lemeshow P-Value: 0.000
Model Details:
Risk Factor N Cases % Events Estimate Standard Error Wald Chi2 P-value Odds Ratio (OR) Lower 95% CL for OR Upper 95% CL for OR
Intercept-4.20.12653.20.000
Age at Admission18-<50 2,5422.5-0.20.12.50.1160.80.61.1
50-<553,0382.6-0.20.11.40.2330.90.71.1
55-<605,2922.2-0.40.111.80.0010.70.50.8
60-<656,9663.30.00.10.00.9791.00.81.2
65-<707,6173.4Reference
70-<757,6023.4-0.10.10.60.4200.90.81.1
75-<806,2333.80.00.10.00.9921.00.81.2
80 or older7,7054.70.10.11.30.2481.10.91.3
Patient SexMale 34,2183.0Reference
Female12,7774.40.20.118.00.0001.31.11.4
Patient RaceWhite 27,0163.1Reference
Non-White19,9793.80.20.17.40.0071.21.01.3
Underweight / Weight Loss71925.61.80.1332.00.0006.15.07.4
Atrial Fibrillation and Flutter6,7575.70.20.19.00.0031.21.11.4
Cardiogenic Shock31937.02.50.1343.60.00011.89.115.3
Cardiomyopathy2,3185.3-0.10.10.60.4460.90.81.1
Heart Failure10,9037.20.70.1134.90.0002.01.82.3
Chronic Lung Disease4,0556.20.30.116.10.0001.41.21.6
Cerebrovascular Disease2,10910.21.00.1148.00.0002.72.33.2
Diabetes20,2694.10.10.11.90.1731.11.01.2
Dialysis31319.91.20.256.20.0003.32.44.6
Peripheral Vascular Disease4,7135.40.20.17.30.0071.21.11.4
Renal Failure9,6886.50.40.142.40.0001.51.31.7
Status of Procedure Urgent4,0893.90.20.17.00.0081.31.11.5
Notes:
If a patient had more than one intervention event of the same type on different dates during the index admission, only the intervention on the earliest date is included for fitting the model.
CL: Confidence Limit